Not me. It’s the same day as the Kepler. I can drive to the Kepler after work on Friday and have a fun weekend with my family. The Goat would require nearly two weeks annual leave by myself or about as much time as I take when I’ve been to Europe. That’s how far away the North Island is from Dunedin. Think I’m kidding, getting home from Tarawera this year took 40 hours. The same time I can get from my house to a hotel in the center of Paris.
The Goat – www.thegoat.co.nz
But now I care. Because James Kuegler laid down the challenge of picking the results and I love to do that, I’m a hell of a lot better at it than I am at running. Also the organisers are fantastic in not only putting up a start list, but putting each persons previous best up. So study has been undertaken and here’s the list. Kugs made it tougher by putting times in and not including himself. He also had no one under 2 hours, that could well be the case if it rains.
Dougan Butler is the 2011 NZ Mountain Running Champion and represented NZ at the Worlds in Italy earlier this year. At the NZ champs his overall pace was faster than Shay who ran the shorter Junior Course. He is strong on technical ground having put in a 69 minute summit of Taranaki as a training run and will be wearing Salomon Sense shoes.
The Head Hunter, (not the Pig Hunter) is only rumored to be starting and isn’t on the start list. He gave Shay a 3 minute towelling in Kawerau a couple of weeks ago. Interestingly he seems to always run about 2:03+ on this course, so it may not suit him. Whereas Shay has a sub 2 from last year.
If Kugs can’t beat Hamish Flemming then he probably can’t beat me and should hang up his bare feet. Kugs has a 2:08 to Hamishes 2:06. I beat Hamish in a shortish run earlier this year, he’s got off-road skills to burn, but probably lacks the road speed for the finish. Running isn’t really his thing though, look out for him in future AR and multisport events. Very good alround and has the Navigation Skills.
No idea why deMonchy is running. He should be saving his pennies for the trip to Northburn in March, he’ll be tired from beating Kiri at Kauri. If he was fresh he would beat both Kugs and Flemming at the moment. Gavin Mason is a multisport bike rider, with big ginger chops who can run a bit. My guess is he’s running because Salomon are sponsoring the event.
Sandbagging Women – Both Hanny Allston and Ruby Muir are trying to deny any sort of training, form and racing. So they will hold hands and walk to the finish together happy.
edit: I forgot to adjust Andy Hughes time. Kugs obviously rates his abilities. Most people return to races wanting to run better than previously and his time is from 2006 I think. So expect him to beat deMonchey and Mason. Ruby was complaining about her time as well, apparently that would be a course record. So, go run a course record then And lastly the Headhunter made very pointed comments that he is in fact useless on this course. Kerry would agree and that’s why he ranks you as Slow.
The Mud – After a week on the mud I started on twice a day. That was really hard to do and I kept forgetting the evening dose. So I have reverted to just the morning drink quickly chase down with some coffee. I’m still keeping happy and regular and there seem to be no ill effects. Skin still seems better than I would expect it to be. Given the amount of running I’m doing there are no noticeable improvements in oxygen uptake/ease of running. I’m just tired. My previous comments about trouble sleeping were resolved by cutting back my coffee intake. That had crept up a bit and was also creeping into the afternoon which i don’t normally do.
IT STILL TASTES LIKE MUD
Two question/comments from the last post came up.
Greig Hamilton asked why I wasn’t better at hills with the amount of hill running I do. The Facts I are, I am a very average runner, with little to no ability and a poor lactate threshold who compensates for it by being very fit. I’ll make a plot at the end of the month showing how my time has dropped as my volume increases. I am sure there are areas I can improve further but I will never be fast, and that pretty much answers Pony’s comment about 15 hours training. It would be less if i ran faster and on flatter ground. I suspect Vajins 220+ takes about the same amount of time.
So the last two and a bit weeks.
146k, 13:45hrs, no idea on vert for that week, 41k Sunday run, track races on Saturday
160k, 15:00hrs (exactly), 40k sunday, 2x 5k races on Saturday and a hard downhill effort earlier in the week
So I’m happy, but tired. Running 10-20k/week more than last year, looking at an easyish week for this one but with a harder effort on Sunday, followed by another big week.